We Predict a Close Encounter

There’s a strong case for backing Oxford +0.5 on the Asian Handicap in their meeting with Burnley. Landing odds of 1.85 looks like great value and we simply need the hosts to avoid a defeat here.

Burnley Landed Victory in Last Game

Oxford United have won three home games on the spin. On the road at Ashton Gate in their last game, they were beaten 2-1 by Bristol City. The U’s managed two shots on target and recorded 42% possession, while Ruben Rodrigues scored the goal.

Burnley have won their previous two games. The latest was a 2-1 home victory at Turf Moor against Portsmouth. The Lancashire side recorded an impressive 74% of possession and had four shots on goal, while Jeremy Sarmiento and Josh Brownhill were both on target.

Oxford United – Last 6 League Games

Oxford have 3 wins and 3 losses, averaging 1.7 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 7.3 attempts. Des Buckingham’s team have averaged 48.2% possession and 2.8 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.3 goals from 4.8 shots on goal, 10.3 attempts and 6.8 corners.

Top scorer Mark Harris has found the net 4 times, with Ruben Rodrigues, Idris El Mizouni, Tyler Goodrham and Tyler Goodrham getting 1 goals each. Ruben Rodrigues has recorded the most assists with 2.

Burnley – Last 10 League Games

Burnley have won 4, lost 4 and drawn 2, averaging 11.2 attempts, 4.0 shots on goal and 1.7 goals. The Clarets average 54.2% possession, 3.9 corners in their favour and 5.3 corners against, while 1.3 goals have been conceded from 5.5 shots on goal and 13.1 attempts.

Josh Brownhill has top scored with 3, while Luca Koleosho, Zeki Amdouni and Dara O’Shea are next on 2. Vitinho and Lucas Pires have clocked up 2 assists each in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Oxford (predicted lineup): Jamie Cumming, Peter Kioso, Elliott Moore, Ciaron Brown, Greg Leigh, Will Vaulks, Tyler Goodrham, Ruben Rodrigues, Idris El Mizouni, Siriki Dembélé, Mark Harris.

Burnley (predicted lineup): James Trafford, Bashir Humphreys, Joe Worrall, Maxime Estève, Lucas Pires, Josh Cullen, Josh Brownhill, Luca Koleosho, Hannibal Mejbri, Jeremy Sarmiento, Lyle Foster.

Expert Championship Analysis

The team news that filters through can have a knock-on effect as far as the odds are concerned. We use this information along with the form guide, while the latest stats are also taken into consideration.

Key Oxford vs Burnley league stats:

• The +0.5 line has been covered by Oxford in all of their last 3 games at home.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Oxford in 3 consecutive games at home.

We can feel confident with our bet on Oxford +0.5 at odds of 1.85. The home team should be able to avoid defeat in this Championship game and this pick has the stats to back up a positive outcome.

It’s good to explore all avenues and you might prefer bigger odds about the prediction you want to make. Go ahead and move the line until you’re happy with the price.

Oxford +0.5 Probability

The betting sites make it a 54.1% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

Published 20:38, 26 September 2024

Correct Score Prediction

Team News

If you’re looking for Oxford vs Burnley team news, then we have predicted and confirmed lineups available along with details of any injuries on both sides.

The Championship squad information is a great asset when it comes to making your bets.